College hoops fans get a Sunday afternoon treat when Cincinnati visits SMU at 4 p.m. ET. Cincinnati is favored by eight points, up one from the open.

In this huge college basketball showdown that features two teams looking for a conference victory, you need to see what SportsLine’s Projection Model has to say.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, crushed its top-rated college basketball picks last season, returning a profit of almost $6,600 on $100 bets for anybody who followed them.

That wasn’t a fluke, either. The model entered the weekend on a strong 13-6 run on its top-rated college basketball picks. Anybody who has been following those picks is way, way up. Its success is because the model comes up with precise, unbiased statistical projections.

Now the model has simulated Cincinnati vs. SMU 10,000 times and locked in strong against the spread, Over-Under, and money line picks. 

We can tell you the model is leaning Under, saying it hits in 57 percent of simulations. It’s projecting 126 total points to be scored, clearing the Under by two.

The model has an even stronger, top-rated pick against the spread for this matchup, saying you can back one side almost 70 percent of the time. And you can only see that one over at SportsLine.

The model has taken into account Cincinnati’s strong recent performances. The sixth-ranked Bearcats are riding a 15-game winning streak, which includes a 20-point victory over SMU.

They’ve done it thanks to an elite defense. The Bearcats, who have held their opponents to under 58 points in four of their last five games, have the second-best scoring defense in the nation, allowing just 56.1 points per game.

But just because Cincinnati’s defense has smothered its opponents this season doesn’t mean it will be able to go on the road and cover the spread.

Cincinnati has lost its last three games on the road at SMU, while the Mustangs are 3-1 against the spread in their last four games against the Bearcats.

So what side of Cincinnati-SMU do you need to be all over? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Cincinnati-SMU spread is cashing almost 70 percent of the time, all from the model that has crushed college hoops, and find out.

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